Scott Walker, Wisconsin and the Unions

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012 and is filed under News

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Steve Moore of the Wall Street Journal wrote that the Walker recall election in Wisconsin, if there are actually enough legitimate signatures, could be the most important non-Presidential election in a decade. Moore is absolutely right. Despite Walker’s reforms now shifting Wisconsin from a $3 billion deficit to a $300 million surplus, despite adding 10,000 jobs for the state in 2011, and the fact that Walker’s Budget Repair Bill helped prevent thousands of layoffs in tough economic times, everyone knows the recall has everything to do with Walker daring to challenge the unions’ power.

Everyone also knows that the recall election, should it happen, with have one of two effects: if Walker wins, it will empower other state executives to continue to bring this kind of reform to their states. If he loses, it will have a chilling effect on reform. Right now, the Huffington Post reports polls are showing Walker winning by 6 to 10 points against any of the proposed Democrat opponents, and the fact of the matter is, despite tens of millions of dollars being poured into the state, the unions are 0-3 over the last year: Budget Repair Bill, the Supreme Court race and the Senate recall elections. With Scott Walker’s campaign doing well on fundraising, and the fact that unions will have to decide whether they spend upwards of $30-50 million in the spring of 2012 versus saving it for the Presidential in the fall (I do think they drop millions into a Walker recall, but not as much as if it were 2013), I’m optimistic the unions will go 0-4 at this point.