Mitt Romney’s Problem Going Forward

Wednesday, January 11th, 2012 and is filed under Blog

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Mitt Romney and his team have a problem this morning. They know that South Carolina and Florida are not Iowa and New Hampshire. In fact, as I have repeatedly pointed out Iowa and New Hampshire are irrelevant in the Republican primary process.

In Iowa, you have Independents changing party registration and crossing over for a day to vote in the caucuses and in New Hampshire, Independents don’t even have to change their registration to vote in the Republican primary. Both scenarios beg the question: why are Republicans letting non-Republicans pick their President?

Which is why the race really begins in South Carolina. A closed primary, South Carolina has consistently been the place where candidates have to win or finish top three to move forward. Mitt and his team know this. They know that both South Carolina and Florida are not their strongest states which is why they are pushing the “This is inevitable” narrative this morning.

I am a realist, though. This is Mitt’s race to lose. Not because of Iowa or New Hampshire, but because of his infrastructure, both staff and fundraising. As I blogged a few months ago, infrastructure wins Presidential primaries, not silver bullets.